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The Democratic Race Will Continue...

By John Nichols, The Nation
April 23, 2008

How much longer will the Democratic nomination fight last? Cast your vote in The Nation poll.

Published April 22, 2008 by The Nation. 

Hillary Clinton has won the Pennsylvania primary, and something akin to formal permission to continue campaigning for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Clinton's winning margin of 55-45 represents a credible victory, if not perhaps so dramatic a finish as was needed to fundamentally change the reality that the senator from New York is unlikely to win the Democratic nod.

Clinton was not worrying about the fine points of the final numbers, however. On Tuesday night, she celebrated as if Pennsylvania had handed her a landslide. And she urged Democratic donors to recognize this big-state win as a call to write the checks her campaign needs to replenish electioneering coffers that are essentially empty.

"We still have a lot of work ahead of us," Clinton told thousands of cheering supporters in Philadelphia. "But if you're ready, I'm ready."

Obama supporters will say their man did better than expected in Pennsylvania, a state where Clinton always led. And they'll be right.

Obama supporters will say that her Pennsylvania win will only net Clinton another 14 to 16 delegates--meaning that she will have to win upcoming primaries by impossibly wide margins to beat their man's solid delegate lead. And they'll be right.

But Hillary Clinton will worry about all that later.

In Pennsylvania, she was going not so much for a particular margin or a precise bump in her delegate total but for a perception. And she got it.

Wednesday morning's headline reads: "Clinton Wins Pennsylvania." So the candidate's off to Indiana, North Carolina and other remaining primary states. And she'll have a message for Democrats who aren't quite sure about Obama.

The New Yorker will argue that, after a six-week Pennsylvania campaign that saw her heavily outspent, she won the swing votes that decide Democratic primaries.

The exit polls say 58 percent of the Democratic primary voters were women. And Clinton was winning among women by a 56-44 margin.

Forty-two percent of the voters were men. But Obama's 53-46 lead among them was nowhere near enough to offset his losses among women.

Clinton was winning big among voters over age 45, who made up 70 percent of the Pennsylvania primary electorate.

Clinton was winning very big among Catholic voters--roughly 70-30 over Obama--and running a bit ahead among Protestants.

Obama was winning in Philadelphia and its suburbs, but those areas only accounted for 32 percent of the overall Democratic electorate.